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A three team race, or do the Bears avoid the regression bug?
Brady, Bell, Bills, and Bottom-feeders
The Air Raid Goes Pro
Nick Folds Heads South
The bottom line for this angle is the books expect half the teams to finish within a 2 win window of the best guess and it ends up being around 10 to 13, not 16; on average 15 teams finish further away than 2 wins from their expectation creating a significant value on the alternate win total extremes.
59 days and Counting
Spring is here which means NFL Regular Season Win Totals are popping! We go through the openers and breakdown 2018 Pythagorean Wins as an indication of what numbers look soft and which numbers are likely to move.
Coping with the loss of football.
A primer in maximizing the bet you made 4 months ago
We mentioned in our 100th Deep Dive that there is an abundance of great free NFL analytics info on twitter that has helped our handicapping process, so here is a non-exhaustive list of some of the more useful follows from the past year or so, broken into categories…
Finally, a proper write up!
Let’s get back to it!
Parlays, parlays, parlays. Lots of tricky players on the card, who I don’t trust to cover the spread!
Shocking number of plays, if I do say so myself!
Blockbuster semi-final day!
@_Noops previews the fortnight at the All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club. Wimbledon is here! Noops talks through some history, offers some data, and breaks down the draw making outright picks.
@_Noops previews the WTA quarterfinal matches between Madison Keys & Ashleigh Barty and Simona Halep & Amanda Anisimova at the French Open
@_Noops looks into the first 2 WTA quarterfinal matches at the French Open
@_Noops takes a look at each of the day’s WTA matches at Roland Garros
@_Noops breaks down the first 4 round of 16 WTA matches at the French Open
@_Noops breaks down the day’s WTA action at the French Open
@_Noops breaks down all the Day 3 WTA action at the French Open.
@_Noops previews all the day 2 WTA action in Roland Garros
@_Noops breaks down all the day 1 WTA action for the French Open
@_Noop previews the fortnight in Roland Garros for the WTA French Open